Sadili, Ach (2024) Peramalan Harga Saham Perbankan Menggunakan Metode Simple Moving Average dan Exponential Smoothing (Adaptive Parameter). Undergraduate thesis, Fakultas Teknologi Informasi Universitas Merdeka Malang.

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Abstract

Stock investment is a process where investors purchase ownership in a company or business entity with the hope of gaining profit from the growth of stock value or dividend payments. Most investors or clients are still afraid of being deceived by stock brokers because they are not yet familiar with the fluctuations in banking stock prices. In this research, two methods are used, namely the Moving Average method and the Exponential Smoothing method (Adaptive Parameter). The Moving Average method is a technique that uses a set of historical data to forecast the future. Meanwhile, the Exponential Smoothing method is a technique to smooth time series data using an exponential function to assign exponentially decreasing weights over time. Both methods successfully produced very satisfactory and highly accurate results in predicting banking stock prices. Despite differences in the outcomes of these two methods, there is no significant difference.

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