Sunarko, Rio Kurniawan (2022) Peramalan Jumlah Penduduk Kota Jombang dengan Menggunakan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing. Undergraduate thesis, Fakultas Teknologi Informasi Universitas Merdeka Malang.

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Abstract

Population is an important part of an area. It is very important to pay attention to the increase and decrease in population, so that the population remains stable. The purpose of this study is to find the best model to predict the population in the future period. The data used is from 1997-2021 obtained from the Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Furthermore, the data will be tested for auto correlation to determine the pattern of the data contained in the data, and whether it is suitable for the Double Exponential smoothing method to be used for forecasting data on the population of Jombang city. In this forecasting method using two parameters, namely and , determining the value of and using an application in Microsoft Excel, namely Solver. The results of this study are in the form of forecasting the population of the city of Jombang in 2022-2024.

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